Sticking to this month’s theme, we have an opportunity to take action to get this country ready for the next Great Pacific War that most expect it to enter its greatest window of vulnerability in the next decade.
As a nation, we’ve procrastinated and appreciated the problem for too long without action. We will soon have a new President and a national security team looking to untangle past problems tied up with strategic inertia and instead look forward to the real threat in the Pacific. A decade after President Obama’s “Pacific Pivot,” what action items could we start to move on?
Our friend former Representative Mike Gallagher over at WSJ outlines some welcome and realistic action items. Read the whole thing, but here’s the important bits for me:
The only way to promote peace is to go to war on day one—not with China, Russia or Iran but with the Pentagon bureaucracy.
Bingo. As we cover here on a regular basis—the largest impediment to our national security posture is internal. A quarter century of failure tells you all you need to know.
The first task is to fix the U.S. Navy. America needs a maritime industrial base that can counter China’s. Pentagon requirements for building maritime assets involve too many uncoordinated stakeholders. The Pentagon establishes war-fighting requirements—such as the number of missiles on a ship—without regard to interdependent technical specifications such as that ship’s center of gravity. When those technical specifications aren’t tightly linked to war-fighting requirements, the mismatch can cause underperformance or unplanned costs and time. The Defense Department should return to the board model that served the Navy well until the 1960s.
The General Board is one of my hobby horses. I cannot love this comment more. We did a Midrats on the topic with John T. Kuehn, PhD 13 years ago. Give it a listen.
The Navy should also create an office focused on expediting the development and deployment of certain war-fighting technologies, similar to the Rapid Capabilities Office at the U.S. Air Force and U.S. Space Force. The next secretary should insist on more flexible processes to deliver unmanned surface, aerial and underwater vehicles with speed and at scale.
“At scale” is the key to the above. When you go to war with a nation four times your population, close to your GDP and with a larger Navy using internal lines of communication instead of external lines of communication, you are not going to win that with a few bespoke Tiffany platforms.
He must also work with Congress to help shipyards attract and retain talent.
Rebuilding the maritime industrial base can also help save Aukus—the security partnership between Australia, the U.K. and the U.S.—which is in danger of stalling. Under the Aukus agreement, the U.S. Navy intends to sell Australia at least three Virginia-class attack submarines by the early 2030s. To realize this goal, the Navy needs to build more than today’s 1.2 hulls a year and shrink maintenance backlogs that have sidelined nearly 40% of the fleet. Addressing these challenges will demand consistent funding, which will come only if the defense secretary articulates the importance of sea power and presents a coherent shipbuilding plan. The secretary can get Aukus off life support by accelerating U.S. submarine deployments to western Australia, bringing more Australian sailors onto U.S. boats, and establishing a naval reactors organization in Canberra.
This should already be happening, but … it needs strong advocates in the Executive and Legislative branches.
The next secretary must rebuild America’s arsenal by moving to maximum production rates of the Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile, Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile (Extended Range), Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile, Harpoon, Standard Missile 6 and other munitions. Wherever possible, these systems should be equipped with advanced energetic materials to extend their range and destructive power.
He has more updated knowledge of the absolute state of our magazine depth. This issue is more acute than most people know.
To free up more money, the secretary can reduce the civilian workforce, the Joint Staff, the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the general and flag officer corps, and the diversity, equity and inclusion bureaucracy. He can sell non-war-fighting assets such as golf courses and resurrect a 2015 Pentagon study that outlined a path to save $125 billion over five years.
The amount of money—and more importantly time—wasted on non-value-added billets and programs is staggering. We need people with a charter, a cleaver, a stack of manning documents—and top-cover.
Assuming China sticks to its Taiwan timeline, the next secretary has two years to prevent World War III. To do so, he must put the Pentagon on a war footing, firing any bureaucrat unable or unwilling to work at a wartime pace. The lack of accountability at the Defense Department—after the shameful Afghanistan withdrawal, the failure to deter Russia from invading Ukraine, and the current secretary’s disappearance without informing the White House—has undermined confidence in military leadership. Armed with a bold agenda, the next secretary can regain the trust of the American people and the fear of America’s enemies.
If we do that, we make the Taiwan military option more difficult. By being more difficult, it may never get the greenlight.
I don’t know about you, but I would much rather have to explain to Congress how we are going to dispose of unused weapons systems in 2040, than have to explain to Congress in 2032 how it came to pass that the USA lost almost all influence from the International Date Line west to Suez, and as part of our agreement to end hostilities, is spending 30% of our defense budget recovering all the nuclear reactors sitting on the seafloor in the Western Pacific from all the CVN and SSN the Chinese sank in our arrogant and unsupportable sortie west of Guam.
I will note, Gallagher doesn’t mention replacing Goldwater-Nichols, COCOM reform, or an intellectual reset on the Cult of the Joint…but I am sure WSJ gave him a word limit. No one is perfect.
"Sell non-war fighting assets " - No no no. Convert them into useful assets but do not sell them. If we sell them we can never get the land back and we put ourselves into a bad position where NIMBY people complain that bought these assets and we paint ourselves into another corner. Convert golf courses into weapons igloos, runways, barracks, whatever but keep them as assets that can be used in the future. Keeping them as raw land is better than selling to a developer. How about this, re-employ a number of soon to be fired federal employees to cut the grass and caretake these facilities as opposed to putting them on welfare.
On the money. Day one and two new SecDef personally interviews all four and three star generals and admirals. Send most packing. Goldwater Nichols started with a good idea and now is a yoke around the DOD neck. It’s a hiding hole for a lot of dead wood and excuse not to be at sea or in the FMF for Marine Officers. Either you’re a war fighter or you’re an office Pog eating poggy bait all day. Figure out to be joint without the joints.
We need tradesmen, Mile Rowe (the dirty jobs guy) just spent the weekend here in NH, they had 80 trades under a big tent, it is possible to get the young back to the trades. Here in NH 5 retire for every 2 that enter…we have 6,000 employees over at the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard many are soon to retire. Further the shipyard is a classic case of it taking too long and costing too much to get the attack boats in and refitted and back to sea. (If a dumb assed Marine Infantry Officer knows this than the Navy has a problem, just speak with the boat crews when they are in port for 18-24 months, they are careful with their words but the shipyard has a problem)
Rolled steel. For the love of Mike do not allow the acquisition of US Steel by Nippon Steel, we have several smaller or similar sized steel companies that could get a deal done get the SEC out of the process on this and get the rolling mills going. People think milk comes from the dairy section of the supermarket, people have no idea of where steel comes from or that the cost of every ton of steel is predicated on the cost of a gallon of diesel. Enough DIE and EPA, cut the regulations down and quit wasting prescious time with DIE. Thouroughly Modern Milley has retired whisky glass in hand and time to send CRT and white rage packing with along with anyone who doesn’t want to “pick up a rifle and follow me.” Get the Marine Air Ground Task Force (MAGTF) back as the 911 force, we are brush fire experts, let the other services handle the big stuff, (happy to help if needed) but get the ARG/MEU capable of meeting Title X mandates. Fire the current Commnadant, he is a major part of the problem. 1000 atta boys gets wiped out with ah sh*t. Arrongance and ego have no place in the oldest standing structure in Washington DC.
Finally as ole Shakes had it so well “kill all the lawyers” well at least fire most of them.