Strategy, Uncertainty and the China Challenge with Jeffrey Meiser & Renny Babiarz, on Midrats
policy & predictions responding to Chinese intentions
From the abstract of the article in the Naval War College Review Winter 2023 Edition, Strategy, Uncertainty, and the China Challenge;
"Despite China’s increasing aggressiveness, its intentions are indeterminate, even aligning with U.S. interests in some arenas. Furthermore, China simply may fail in achieving even its foremost national and foreign-policy goals. Given this uncertainty, the United States should not base its policy and strategy on any specific prediction about Chinese intentions or abilities."
Our guest for the full hour will be two of the three co-authors of the article, Jeffrey W. Meiser from the University of Portland (Oregon) and Renny Babiarz, PhD from Johns Hopkins University Geospatial Intelligence Program.
We'll dive in to the issues raised in the article and discuss related topics as they come in to the conversation.
You can join hear the podcast below or at the link.
"its intentions are indeterminate"
BS, analysists need to stop looking at what the CCP tells foreign audiences in English, and start looking at what they tell their own people in Mandarin. The CCP could not be more clear about what future they want or what they are willing to do in order to achieve it.
"China simply may fail in achieving even its foremost national and foreign-policy goals"
Perhaps, but this failure does not advert war. The PRC ATTEMPTING to achieve policy goals, particularly their revanchist attempt to re-capture former Qing territory will cause war if its even attempted.
So far Ukraine has not won, despite every bit of hardware and money dumped there.
Ukraine will in time run out of both and men.
Congress will eventually see reality as it did in Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq and turn their support off, then the Ukrainian's will have to do some fast dancing and negotiate a peace.
The Russian has not used it's full military forces, it has a reserve that if it's full might is focus there and not on defending from NATO in Europe could crush this war out quickly.
The US doesn't have the military it did and we would face a war on Three fronts, Russia, Serbia and China.
Poland wants parts of Polish Ukraine back and they like Ukraine cannot hold back with out US dollars and weapons.
Bakhmutt is not bashing itself to death it is a win.
Now the war goes asymmetrical cross borders raids and artillery duels.
Fanbois are PITA on both sides.