If war should come in the western Pacific against the People’s Republic of China, it will not be a short war. It is delusional to think otherwise.
It will be a maritime and aerospace war. Aircraft will be shot down in significant numbers. Warships - which we do not have the industrial capacity to replace - will be hit and will need repair.
We don’t have the ability to service that need. We have run out of time - our leaders have dithered away precious time.
We no longer have the luxury of appreciating the problem and nit-picking every possible option - much less ignore it.
We will have to find good enough fast enough.
The “unsexy but important” are the key to sustaining the fight, as we continue to ignore them at our strategic peril.
Our friend Brent Sadler over at Heritage at the end of last month has a constructive idea, Navy Inactive Fleet Has Life Still: Expeditionary Transfer Docks Should Be Returned to Service.
At the 2023 naval conference WEST, the current Pacific Fleet Commander, Admiral Samuel Paparo, called for the capability to repair battle-damaged warships nearer the battlelines. The admiral’s vision includes teams of engineers and their equipment that can meet a damaged ship and effect rapid repairs.
However, fly-away teams will be hard pressed to effect major battle damage without gear like cranes, steel plate, cofferdams, and floating drydocks that proved instrumental in the Pacific during World War II.
To meet these needs today, new floating drydocks or modern heavy-lift ships will be needed.
When the destroyer USS Cole was attacked in the port of Aden, Yemen, on October 30, 2000, only the action of the sailors kept the ship afloat long enough to be repaired. She was returned to active service only after being transported thousands of miles for extensive repairs at a U.S. shipyard with the use of a contracted Dutch heavy-lift ship, the Blue Marlin.
In June 2023, Austal USA began construction of a new Auxiliary Floating Dock Medium for the U.S. Navy, but it will not be able to service the Navy’s aircraft carriers or amphibious assault ships (LHDs/LHAs).
Moreover, it is unclear whether the Navy will tow these new floating drydocks to forward bases where they would be of greatest utility in a future war.
On the other hand, a heavy-lift ship, in addition to the ability to lift a damaged warship out of the water, has mobility to meet damaged warships and move them to safer waters for repairs. Cina’s People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has already taken delivery of heavy-lift repair ships like the Yinmahu that can serve as forward deployed repair docks.
The U.S. ESDs were designed with the ability to ballast down into the water to take onboard small vessels like amphibious assault hovercraft, a capability that can enable them to function as limited heavy-lift ships.
You go to war with what you have … and if you read the full report linked above, it has other uses as well.
Let’s look at those AFDM under construction;
How about that PLAN heavy-lift repair ship, Yinmahu.
Let’s look at the Dutch Blue Marlin that was mentioned above.
Are you getting what I’m sending? Do you see the capability gap? Can you feel it? Makes the hair on the back of the neck stand up a little? Can you hear a clock ticking in the background? Get a funny feeling in your stomach?
Ever wonder, exactly, what we think our Navy might have to fight through…and why we seem not to be ready for it?
We always act as if the USN will operate in alone. In a Pacific War we will probably have Taiwan, Japan, Australia, S. Korea, and the Philippines on our side. Many of them add significant naval capability as well as repair facilities. I think, at a minimum, we should consider the possibility that USN ships will be able to be repaired in those countries.
A T-ESD modified into a heavy lift ship would require removal of the lanes for LCACs and the vehicle fuel and handling deck, and moving the deck fittings mounted for the ballasting system. It’s practical, but would require either new construction or removal from service of either ESD.
We’ve wasted time and treasure, and there are hungry tigers ridden by authoritarians about.