72-hour transformational offset wishcasting
The Navy once had a airplane, the EA-6B Prowler, with the ability to broadcast a jamming signal to knock out enemy radar. I'm hoping some folks with knowledge in electronics would opine on the possibility of a platform blasting out a signal strong enough to knock the drones offline.
Nobody wants to admit that logistics is a key part to winning the next war, although everyone knows that is true. We should be ramping up supplies on our side, and figuring out how to interrupt the "bad guy's" supplies. For example, self-seeding anti-ship and submarine mines...both from UUV's and long range JASM type missiles to mine every possible port supporting a hostile Navy. Are we planning for that? No. We continue to insist on force on force, when the most likely adversary already has a larger force and shorter supply lines. Bad idea, wars have been lost for less. We have to cut the oil flow and supply flow in any future war, esp when the potential adversary (cough-China) depends upon so many imports.
Let me ask, though: If we were attacked by DF-21s and you could launch a cloud of drones that could loiter over the formation (made up of explosive charges) that could manuever in front of a hypersonic warhead and blow it up if not intercepted by SM-3 or SM-6 - would that be of use? A drone shield wall? That could perhaps also spoof such missile targeting? A mobile shield against any type of missile?
More P-8s, NSMs, and TASMs are a better bet Madame Secretary. Tell the jarheads they're really sea soldiers now and can buy boats up to 60 meters in length, so we'll finally get a missile FAC in US service. Subsidize production line(s) for returning the C-17 (and apparently our older tankers) at underutilized airports. Among other projects...
In that big 5 focus list, I hope that embedded in there is the ability to reload VLS, if not underway, then in austere sheltered anchorages.
That presupposes enough missiles have reloads
As for drone swarms, which of us, China or the US, seems to be better at 'replicating' and deploying large numbers of anything.
Also high on that focus list would be cyber, and the ability to protect this new IP, lest China deploy it first ad for free
Given the difficulties we already have if/when the balloon goes up in WESTPAC, there is NO FREAKIN’ WAY we could produce and appropriately deploy and disperse thousands of drones. Add to that the well established military axiom that you never attack into an enemy’s strength - Russia and China have a long history of using masses to solve military problems. Just another “brilliant” Potomac brain fart.
No drones were harmed in making this blog.
The "drone" is the Pentagon's answer to all problems. For all of the "success" of the "drone" in the war in Ukraine, it is the 155mm artillery shell and it's cousins thay are having the greatest impact on the war. The "drone" just makes for better headlines in the nightly press.
"We are not smarter than previous generations. There is no secret weapon or war winning technology - or magic beans - that will allow us to skip past the hard work of a viable strategy backed up by a properly resourced industrial capacity to build, maintain, deploy, and sustain a fighting force on the other side of the Pacific for years if needed."
Deja vu all over again.
Studying history is depressing. And very few of the cool kids bother. But man, do they have ideas!
The pusuit of the "Transformational" ignus fatuus seems to be endemic these days.
"Every time we have our top leaders - smart hard working professionals with the best intentions - step up to sound more like this guy - the worse we will all be."
Do we have smart hard-working professionals with the best intentions? I don't question having smart professionals and I don't question professionals with good intentions, but both in the same professional? Maybe that isn't reaching too far...
72 months. Not a problem. America is best when it comes to long wars that pan several administrations Think Vietnam Afghanistan Iraq etc
So what are these swarms of lightweight drones going to do against
"China’s most important asset in potential war with the United States is “mass,” says Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks: “More ships. More missiles. More people.”
To counter that advantage, the Defense Department will launch an initiative called Replicator to create cheap drones across the air, sea, and land in the “multiple thousands” within the next two years."
There certainly is a use for drones. But? How do “multiple thousands" of lightweight drones kill ships or missiles? (Maybe loaded with incendiaries and crashed onto a deck? Okay, what about the missiles?)
Production capacity aside? It seems at times like our elites have drifted into some sort of surreal modern version of André Maginot's universe.
What is the impact on the Navy's future ability to prosecute a major war in the Pacific if the Ford Class aircraft launch and recovery systems never do reach full reliability according to the original specifications from twenty years ago? Do the Ford Class hulls then become the world's largest and fastest LHAs? But LHAs nonetheless?
We seem to forget Newton. The enemy and hopefully our betters will find defenses to the swarm. As another Marine said to me.... In two weeks we will be back to fighting no-tec war, the kind of war at which the Marines excel.
How about OSD/JCS first determine an actual joint strategy and war termination terms requirement for a conflict with the PRC before getting into the tactical weeds on drones? Force in the Indo-Pacific need more ordnance in general to start and short-range drones would not be in the first category of requirements.