Don: The IDF has been moving armor to the north in earnest. Supply of artillery and tank shells is a big issue, and part of the reason why Israel has had to hold off for many months.
It looks like artillery shells are being produced in Pennsylvania. I know that because Zelensky flew in for a DNC photo op featuring him and his paymasters signing shells to be fired at the Russians. No word as to whether the US Army has enough rounds for its next fight.
Please elaborate. Oh that’s right, you’re a guy who supported the senile child molester (according to his daughter). Yeah, you’re right, I’m a guy who thinks that’s pretty disgusting.
My, my. You have such a thin skin for a former Naval Officer. So thin you would spew lies about someone that has never given you cause to spout those lies. There is nothing in what I have posted to give warrant for accusing me of supporting Biden. I don't. I also will not support Trump if he does not get off the dime on Ukraine.
Getting criticized because you support Putin seems to trigger you terribly. I despise Biden, and I despise Putin, and those that support the man. Your peanut gallery comment really was quite childish, and not mention unsupportable from the facts. But why let a few facts get in the way of your narrative?
You are disgusting, however, given the lies you posted. I've served under your ilk, and the fact that your sort has become commonplace in the Navy inspires me to tell a young man to stay away, far away from military service.
Pssst… I was never a Naval Officer. And your screed just goes downhill from there. But it looks like quite a few of our congressmen share my belief that Zelensky’s little visit violated a few laws. But hey, as long as your girl Kamala gets into office, what’s a little lawbreaking among friends?
Sorry, I have confused you with Bryan McGrath. Everything else stands. No, Zelensky's visit violated no laws, but it was impolitic for the Ambassador to arrange something like that without consideration for the politics involved.
Kamala is not my girl, but a rapist known a Sad Vlad Putin seems to be your guy. The facts are not your strong suit, and your support for Vlad marks you as the sort no decent man likes to associate with at all. You're just the sort that would love another Munich.
CDR Sal: Now that is world class perspective framing. By providing comparative maps, you give the "casual" U.S. centric reader non-DoD reader (perhaps linking in from, say, Instapundit) an easily understandable sense of the scope and scale of this conflict. OBTW, the numbers are huge, and impressive, especially considering the relatively small size of the "impact area". BUT, what is the impact of the precision of these strikes, especially in combination with the intel gathered from the recent pager / walky talky / internet of things detonation? Possible assessment of movements prior to detonation? Stalin said (IIRC) "at some point mass has a quality of its own" or something like that. MASS combined with PRECISION has to have a multiplier effect on the "effects based operation" campaign that the IDF is currently waging. Given their situation, have to believe they see this is a last resort type of action, and are burning sources and methods in a very profligate manner to prevent complete disaster. They are almost certainly correct.
And non-veteran readers. In 1980 veterans made up 18% of the U.S. population. By 2022 that was down to 6% and 1/3 of them being Vietnam-era or earlier. Over the next decade or so it is going to be a heck of a lot easier finding that vacant Veterans parking spot at the Home Depot.
The challenge here in conducting that huge number of strikes in a confined space takes on the appearance of indiscriminate bombing with undoubtedly a significant number of civilian casualties. Israel has already demonstrated that this is a war of emotion and that they lack restraint, this further proves the point and will erode international support and reduce legitmacy to their strategic aims (which remain unclear as they continue to expand this war).
Israel's strategic aim is to live in peace. Hezbollah starting bombing Northern Israel on October 7 (leaving no doubt that Iran was behind October 6-7) without Israel provocation. Israel gave them 11 months to stop and they didn't. Now they will receive their just reward for their actions.
Israel’s actions do not indicate a desire to live in peace, and as they’ve shown no ability to be discriminate in their attacks (a simple release of pre-/post imagery to the public would go a long way in demonstrating “restraint”), and until they demonstrate an openness on their means to achieve strategic aims then this has every appearance of indiscriminate and at odds with international norms (comparing their actions to those of Russia in Ukraine). Their is no intellectual honesty in stating my strategic aim is to live in peace as it has no logical end state.
Now it's Hezbollah turn to whine and cry that is Israel is playing too rough after bombing Israel for the past 11 months. The details will surely follow but the intel/ops with the pagers and beepers is already legend. They went right after the leadership of these monsters. Don't ever forget the American blood that Hezbollah has on their hands from the Beirut bombing 40 years ago.
800+ strikes in an area slightly larger than the District of Columbia reaks of a lack of discrimination in selecting targets, and more of a carpet bombing campaign. Show us the proof of the legitimacy of this level of aggression, or take a step back and examine your true end-state with intellectual honesty. Israel does not get a pass simply for being Israel - which is what you appear to be arguing.
Hi ya' danny! While you'll get no arguments from me on Pollard (I'm sure he was on the FBI watchlist.) The Liberty is a touch more nuanced. You see what the USN doesn't want you to know is the USN Naval Attache assigned to Israel FAILED to notify Washington about the maritime exclusion zone. (Look that up, I'm sure you can barely spell it, let alone define it.)
Then D.C FAILED to react in a timely matter to get the gouge out to the fleet.
Israel messed up and has responsibility, but you'd damn well better assign some responsibility to the same USN that through misaction also caused those sailors to die.
Israel follows the dogma of that midevil warrior monk who order the Cathar city in France put to the sword, kill them all let God sort it out, we shall have security when no one left to defend themselves
"Israel’s actions do not indicate a desire to live in peace"
Killing the people that want to kill you indicates a desire to live in [people] peace. If my neighbor was throwing grenades in my window occasionally, I'd sure as heck do something about it.
By your logic the mere possession of armed deterrence indicates that a nation does not want to live in peace. Perish the thought that one might take the fight to an enemy whose raison d'etre is your extermination. With respect, your evaluation of this matter is remarkably naive. It is called war and it has many faces.
Gee, I don't know why there would be emotion involved. Doesn't everyone stand around and calmly debate things after a mob of medieval barbarians attacks, rapes and murders over a thousand of your people?
The challenge here is that in a year since that horrific attack, the emotion from Israels leadership has not subsided. There does not appear to be a rational evaluation of strategic end-states, methods, and rationale behind what Israel is doing now. They don't get a pass to do whatever the hell they want, just because they were attacked first. Restraint, with a calculated rationale behind each move is how they should be prosecuting this war, instead we revert to carpet bombing the enemy with a significant amount of collateral damage that could likely be avoided.
Moderation and Proportionality has never served the Israelis geo-politically.
The only methodology which has yielded actual negotiated peace between middle east nation states and Israel has been> an Israeli decisive victory followed by Israeli generosity at the peace table in exchange for recognition and peace.
Everything else is just variations of death by a thousand cuts.
All Hamas needed to do was return the hostages. They're lucky, if the hostages weren't returned with 48 hours? I would have incinerated Gaza. Return the hostages or die. Simple equation ain't it?
There's the concept of "tough love", "scared straight", and "you either have a boot on their neck or their hands on your throat". In a tough neighborhood you either survive or you don't. When both sides embrace all that, well then, there ya go.
Yes, emotion is always a factor, but in the end a war must have a logical conclusion or end-state in order to continue to be waged, and absent a political end-state, this takes on a more-and-more indiscriminate "us vs the world" mentality in which emotion is the only driver of decision-making. This is a classic art of war discussion in which it appears Israel is just leaping at every boogeyman and does not have any real objective.
Dan: The successful South Africa bowed down to the "international community" and became the dysfunctional mess it is today. "International legitimacy" is just Marxism with a happy face.
Re: ISW map, it reflects the recognized international perspective on the situation. ISW is not a USG entity, and the US recognition of the Golan as Israeli was unilateral, not reflected by the UN or the rest of the world generally speaking. I’ll think they’re trying to present a general perspective rather than a US one
Donald Trump recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and the Golan Heights as part of Israel and no one in the Deep State is going to give him credit for doing so. Just look at who works for these think tanks. At the ISW you will find names like Kagan and Kristol. At the AEI who will find the name Cheney. Need I say more? The thinks tanks are little more than farm teams or retirement homes for future and past members of the Uniparty. They really have little to offer.
The best and the brightest told us that the Arab street would explode in anger if Donald Trump kept his promise about Jerusalem. He did so and the reaction was a big yawn. The Deep State especially hates him when he shows them he's right and they are not.
Also, this isn’t a “long-simmering border conflict”. The Israeli-Lebanese border is internationally recognized. At its heart, this is a Jihadi-Western Civilization conflict.
They seem to have no problem pledging their lives, fortunes, and sacred honor (Naw! Not really) in support of the Uniparty candidate and their continued grift.
"We are former public servants who swore an oath to the Constitution. Many of us risked our lives for it. We are retired generals, admirals, senior noncommissioned officers, ambassadors, and senior civilian national security leaders. We are Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. We are loyal to the ideals of our nation—like freedom, democracy, and the rule of law—not to any one individual or party."
Nice of them to put their names to this letter. A good marketer now has a short list of individuals with the best wine cellars on the Potomac.
I agree but read the entire list, Mr. T! I think a reasonable person might change his mind when finding this name on the list: "Linda Jackson, Spouse of retired Senior Military Leader"
Some folks leaning towards Trump might see that the spouse of a retired Senior Military Leader is endorsing Harris and it could tip the scales in her direction for them. Don't know for sure whether she's married to a senior NCO, CWO or a FOGO. Am just suggesting you don't vote early. Wait until election day. I tried to google info about Ms. Jackson but found nothing. Will keep trying. I want to be a High Information Voter, not a low one. Just sayin'.
War profiteering as pentagon suppliers, contractor corporate board memberships, "selling" shoddy weapons and polished whims to colleagues, then hiring them, serving the deep state empire; none of this seems to violate the "support and defend" oaths we took.
VP Harris told the debate a few weeks ago she is going to defend with no limits "rules and norms" none of it in the constitution and remote to common defense. while paying for Israel to violate all norms and rules!
She is good for business......
While trump mentioned nuclear weapons Harris said nothing about tripping MAD!
Just one more step in creating Eretz Israel, meaning from the river to the sea. Over 800,000 Israeli Jews (and none of the 23% of Israel’s citizens who are Arabs) live in illegally occupied areas outside Israel’s boundaries.
Unfortunately, once the Eretz Israel project is completed there will be as many indigenous Arabs inside that expanded version of Israel as there are Jews.
It’s long been recognized that Israel could be a both a majority Jewish state and a democracy, but only if it stayed within the boundaries of the nation as internationally recognized. Or it could expand to incorporate what Jews refer to as Judea and Samaria along with East Jerusalem and, eventually, Gaza, but it couldn’t be a democracy unless it wanted to give equal rights to the non-Jews in Eretz Israel who demographically will before long be a majority of the population. How could it be a Jewish state if Jews are a minority of the population?
Neither the Jews nor the indigenous Arabs are going away and few, if any, nations, including even the United States, will tolerate endless ethnic preferences or, far worse, ethnic cleansing. And, it’s clear that when politicians reference a two state solution involving truly sovereign nations they are playing charades. There will be no two state solution.
Trump has no more long term vision for the Levant than Biden or Harris have. They are trolling for campaign cash and votes.
But our political types aren't paying attention, really. To reach back into history, we're looking more and more like the last days of Rome.
Our "elites" couldn't be a more stereotypical group of self-aggrandizing narcissists on the Lido deck of the Titantic than if we'd ordered them from Cecil B. DeMille's casting shop.
Or the bunker, from "Downfall," if you're really wanting to get dark.
When Caligula was assassinated, the Praetorian Guard found his old senile uncle Claudius hiding behind a curtain and proclaimed him emperor. When his usefulness ended, he was fed poisoned mushrooms, and his stepson/son-in-law Nero was proclaimed emperor. That couldn't happen today in the USA.
The Israelis are, at last, doing the necessary, and despite the bleating from our current "Administration". We need to give them any help they need and get out of the way.
What more “help” can we give our charitable ward beyond an absurd percentage of total foreign aid and endless free supplies of sophisticated arms that the US military could itself use?
Perhaps we could establish an American military footprint within Israel that is roughly equal to that which we have within Qatar? Qatar, of course, pays for a great deal of Central Command’s presence there and Israel could do the same.
To bad we provided Lend-Lease to the Soviet Union.
And btw? The French and British paid for building many of the factories in the US between 1938-1940. They laid the foundations of the arsenal for democracy.
Turkey is a formal ally of the U.S. that hosts major American military facilities. Israel isn’t Qatar and Bahrain both host immense American military bases.
"What more “help” can we give our charitable ward beyond an absurd percentage of total foreign aid and endless free supplies of sophisticated arms that the US military could itself use?"
Allow them to defeat their foes so badly that unconditional surrender is the only option other than extinction.
Really? You’re clearly more interested in the Hasbara of a foreign country than what’s best for the US.
So your argument is that Arabs who have been on that land for 1000+ uninterrupted years and 8000 generations aren’t legitimately indigenous and thus deserve to have their land and homes relentlessly stolen by a squatter movement? Are you writing from a West Bank settlement?
I’m not arguing that Jews didn’t live in our Holy Land millennia ago (so did Samaritans…) or that Jews should leave. I follow the Jewish carpenter and know that the New Testament was written almost entirely by Jews with Jews as the primary target audience. I know Christ would be aghast at what is happening now. By all means stay.
But it might be good to, of all things, have Israel’s 800,000 Jewish citizens who live illegally on the West Bank and East Jerusalem return to live inside Israel’s borders (note that none of the 23% of Israelis who are Arabs are squatters).
There are now an equal number of Arabs (Christians and Muslims) and Jews in Palestine/Israel. Neither tribe is leaving and ethnic cleansing and sustained gross ethnic preferences won’t be tolerated.
It’s up to Israel to figure out the answer, not Uncle Sugar. We’d do well to step back and motivate them to do that.
Don’t forget the USS Liberty or Jonathan Pollard. The two countries have differing interests. We aren’t Israelis. At least I am not.
I wonder if the USA is being set up for another intervention in Lebanon on behalf of Israel.
Will the unconditional support for a wealthy nuclear power seeking to expand its territory at the expense of Palestinian olive farmers ever end?
I was around, off Ras Beirut for a couple of weeks in May 1983 for the last intervention. That was not in the interest of the United States and didn't end well.
We've been bled in Middle East conflicts related to Israel for the last 40 years, and soon we'll get our ass kicked by China because we let ourselves be bled.
I’m a Marine. There was no reason for the Marines to be in Beirut in 1983. What national interest was served by that gross tragedy?
I’m in no way a Hamas supporter but there are abundant numbers of extraordinary people in Gaza and I’m not nearly as cavalier about killing innocents as you are, apparently. Israel is not becoming more secure and it’s too bad that the IDF was inept in defending its border on 10/7 despite all the weaponry we’ve given it. One thing I can assure you is that Israel can’t kill them all, no matter how much we divert from the US military and take from American taxpayers.
The US did a bunch of misguided stuff after 9/11. Look at how that investment of $7 trillion and hundreds of thousands of lives turned out. Perhaps you’ve forgotten the recent triumph in Afghanistan…
Temper tantrums are poor substitutes for sober strategic decision making.
With Israel being a charitable ward of the US it is absolutely place conditions on our ceaseless aid. We do that with every country we assist.
And, Israel is a completely separate country from us. We aren’t them and they aren’t us.
You're not disrupting the echo chamber one bit. Apparently you don't remember that in addition to the whole hezzbollah thingy we were still working to mitigate Soviet influence in the area since 1958.
You know the whole Suez and Lebanon crisis things.
And BTW, too bad we were so inept on Dec 7th. Perhaps you should go talk to Truman about nuking Japan 2x.
What we have done since 9/11 has greatly enhanced Iranian influence in the countries surrounding Israel and, indirectly, enhanced Russian and Chinese influence as a corollary. Even you recognize this.
Japan was a major military power. Gaza isn’t even a hint of a country.
You are a good indication that when you’re a hammer everything else is a nail.
"We've been bled in Middle East conflicts related to Israel for the last 40 years, and soon we'll get our ass kicked by China because we let ourselves be bled."
If it wasn't for State's penchant for nation building and rainbow diversity spreading in the Sandbox, the doves would had "peace divend-ed" away the entire DOD budget and reallocated it to Medicaid, the War on Poverty, and high priced condo reclaimation of waterfront real estate. At least the Navy can still barely serve as a speed bump (Assuming the PLAN doesn't target our pitiful handful of oilers.)
Regardless of your opinion of support of the Israel, past 23 years are example of how well intentioned policies of multiple administrations of both parties aimed at progressing US interests, from removing Saddam Hussein to supporting rebels in Syria, led in a brilliant demonstration of the law of unintended consequences to Shia-controlled highway from Iran to Lebanon that could not be better created if Khomeini himself rose from the grave to enact his dreams.
The manner in which Dubya handled Iraq was utterly stupid. After we killed Saddam, we should have handed the keys to the next guy in line with the advice, "Don't make us come back."
Saddam was a horrendous person. He had zip to do with 9/11. We had him completely bottled up at a cost of $12 billion a year and he was firmly opposed to the Iranians. We had the 9/11 perpetrators to address. We blinked rather than sending several divisions into the mountains of Afghanistan to root out Al Qaeda while eventually making Iraq an Iranian client state at huge financial cost and physical costs to the US. $7 trillion is the number. Hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians were killed. We know how Afghanistan turned out.
For all who are so confident in the US national interest way forward in the Middle East, reflect on the law of unintended consequences.
Then pursue the best possible outcome for us as Americans. Never fall victim to wag the dog approaches by other countries pursuing their own interests.
I, like many Jerry Pournelle's community, was against going into Iraq in 2003. Most of us laughed at Frum when he tried to read us out of the party. It would have been better from Frum had he went back to Soviet Canuckistan and kept his mouth shut. My bunch were vindicated by the outcome after the Bushies threw in nation building.
That last was why I said what I did about handing the keys to the next guy.
Discussion about the nature of war today hinges on whether or not wars can be fought without collateral damage (i.e., non-combatant casualties and infrastructure). We seem to have a bit of amnesia about the nature of war. William Tecumseh Sherman: "War is cruelty. There is no use trying to reform it. The crueler it is, the sooner it will be over." And, "My aim....was to follow them to their inmost recesses, and make them fear and dread us. Fear is the beginning of wisdom." Now, you may or may not agree with this approach, but we wrapped up WWII with two atomic bombs in Japan, and obliteration of key German cities. Israelis have endured years of missile attacks from Hamas and Hezbollah (non-state actors backed by a non contiguous state - Iran) without much reaction from the West. Western indifference to how Jews are treated has a long history, which Jews are more than attuned to. So "Never Again," has an imprimatur that we in the West shouldn't dismiss as rhetoric. We didn't finish the job about punishing those who were behind the Beirut Barracks bombing -- but it appears the IDF has done that for us. So bully for them. I feel sorry for the Lebanese and Gaza civilians who are themselves indirectly held hostage to radical Muslim militants who have essentially ruined the Middle East I remember Beirut pre-Hezbollah, and it was very much a civilized and prosperous place in the 1960s. The next time I saw it was in 1983....
You saw it before the 70% Christian Lebanon let the barbarian PLO through the city gates in '75. We are now living with the 85% Muslim vassal state of Iran.
The Paris of the Eastern Med existed for a reason...the last 30-years has seen that title scrapped-off the sign at the city limits and it's no different than any other seaside slum.
You saw it before the 70% Christian Lebanon let the barbarian PLO through the city gates in '75. We are now living with the 65% Muslim vassal state of Iran.
Sure doesn't change the narrative much does it? My point stands.
"Airstrike"???? What does that mean? ISW alleged to be in the business of studying war. So use precise warrior terms.
The Schweinfurt Raid was an Airstrike
A Sortie is an Airstrike
A released munition is an Airstrike
The differences are huge.
What are we talking about? I think we are counting booms, meaning high order munitions dropped
Other opinions?
On the Golan question, Dept of State maps seem to show the Golan as disputed, while the CIA Fact book shows it as Israel. Perhaps the Biden Admin defers to Syria
All warfare is immoral if you want to argue that. Who is more culpable in this madness, the cowards who initiated this and use civilians as shields or the ones seeking their just revenge as a matter of survival? Honor only means something when recognized by both combatants. Our interests lie with the only democratic nation in the sandbox.
Like typical leftist, you worry about the people that started the war. Yes, many kids have been killed. Same thing happened in WW2 in Germany and Japan. They also started the war, and little sympathy was wasted on them. A decent person does not like doing it, but when the adults allowed a war to begin, then the consequences are on them. The blame sits on Hamas, not Israel, no matter how much you wish to emotionally appeal to "for the children."
Which "rule of law" would you be referring to? The 1862 border, the 1920 border, the 1923 border, the 1936 border, the 1946 border, the 1949 border, the 1967 border, the 2000 border, or the 2019 border...none of which everyone has agreed to. Syria started the fight in '67 where they lost the Golan, not Israel. Also, in the larger context, I refer you to Kosovo, South Sudan, The Falkland Islands, Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro, N. Macedonia, Bosnia ... etc - all gained by force of arms after the UN charter you refer to.
Disbanding of the Yugoslavia did not result in annexations of other countries. - hell even Serbs ended up not annexing Serb parts of the Croatia and Bosnia.
Neither did Albania annex Kosovo.
Similarily, South Sudan seceded after civil war, and was not captured by third party like say, Ethiopia or Kenya.
Falkland Islands have been temporarily de facto conquered by Argentine and was reclaimed justly , de facto AND de iure by UK.
As for the 1967, Israel and Han shot first. With devastating results in both cases :P
So, basically, the rule of international law is :Thou shall not steal land. Especially by force.
I notice that the lines on the map made by the gentlemen's agreement between Joachim von Ribbentrop and Vyacheslav Mikhaylovich Molotov have remained somewhat intact even though the Reich and Soviet Union no longer exist and that their 'agreement' violated the "rule of law" under the League of Nations ensuring territorial integrity and sovereignty. Brute force seems to work until enough time has passed that the lines on a map become historical norms. People and their cultures be damned.
Be sure to tell that to Putin. He apparently isn't listening and is engaging in a war of conquest in Ukraine. His casus belli was a pack of transparent lies.
No they are not. They are not playing at all.
155mm Artillery shell production is in the news pretty constantly due to Ukraine. How is bomb production doing?
More importantly - is the bomb production in a purple swing state.
Don: The IDF has been moving armor to the north in earnest. Supply of artillery and tank shells is a big issue, and part of the reason why Israel has had to hold off for many months.
It looks like artillery shells are being produced in Pennsylvania. I know that because Zelensky flew in for a DNC photo op featuring him and his paymasters signing shells to be fired at the Russians. No word as to whether the US Army has enough rounds for its next fight.
"his paymasters"
That is just funny. Particularly so given what you are.
Please elaborate. Oh that’s right, you’re a guy who supported the senile child molester (according to his daughter). Yeah, you’re right, I’m a guy who thinks that’s pretty disgusting.
My, my. You have such a thin skin for a former Naval Officer. So thin you would spew lies about someone that has never given you cause to spout those lies. There is nothing in what I have posted to give warrant for accusing me of supporting Biden. I don't. I also will not support Trump if he does not get off the dime on Ukraine.
Getting criticized because you support Putin seems to trigger you terribly. I despise Biden, and I despise Putin, and those that support the man. Your peanut gallery comment really was quite childish, and not mention unsupportable from the facts. But why let a few facts get in the way of your narrative?
You are disgusting, however, given the lies you posted. I've served under your ilk, and the fact that your sort has become commonplace in the Navy inspires me to tell a young man to stay away, far away from military service.
Pssst… I was never a Naval Officer. And your screed just goes downhill from there. But it looks like quite a few of our congressmen share my belief that Zelensky’s little visit violated a few laws. But hey, as long as your girl Kamala gets into office, what’s a little lawbreaking among friends?
Sorry, I have confused you with Bryan McGrath. Everything else stands. No, Zelensky's visit violated no laws, but it was impolitic for the Ambassador to arrange something like that without consideration for the politics involved.
Kamala is not my girl, but a rapist known a Sad Vlad Putin seems to be your guy. The facts are not your strong suit, and your support for Vlad marks you as the sort no decent man likes to associate with at all. You're just the sort that would love another Munich.
CDR Sal: Now that is world class perspective framing. By providing comparative maps, you give the "casual" U.S. centric reader non-DoD reader (perhaps linking in from, say, Instapundit) an easily understandable sense of the scope and scale of this conflict. OBTW, the numbers are huge, and impressive, especially considering the relatively small size of the "impact area". BUT, what is the impact of the precision of these strikes, especially in combination with the intel gathered from the recent pager / walky talky / internet of things detonation? Possible assessment of movements prior to detonation? Stalin said (IIRC) "at some point mass has a quality of its own" or something like that. MASS combined with PRECISION has to have a multiplier effect on the "effects based operation" campaign that the IDF is currently waging. Given their situation, have to believe they see this is a last resort type of action, and are burning sources and methods in a very profligate manner to prevent complete disaster. They are almost certainly correct.
What's a km, let alone a square one?
— "casual" U.S. centric reader non-DoD reader
And non-veteran readers. In 1980 veterans made up 18% of the U.S. population. By 2022 that was down to 6% and 1/3 of them being Vietnam-era or earlier. Over the next decade or so it is going to be a heck of a lot easier finding that vacant Veterans parking spot at the Home Depot.
The challenge here in conducting that huge number of strikes in a confined space takes on the appearance of indiscriminate bombing with undoubtedly a significant number of civilian casualties. Israel has already demonstrated that this is a war of emotion and that they lack restraint, this further proves the point and will erode international support and reduce legitmacy to their strategic aims (which remain unclear as they continue to expand this war).
Yesterday was already the bloodiest single day since the end of the Lebanese civil war decades ago
Israel's strategic aim is to live in peace. Hezbollah starting bombing Northern Israel on October 7 (leaving no doubt that Iran was behind October 6-7) without Israel provocation. Israel gave them 11 months to stop and they didn't. Now they will receive their just reward for their actions.
Israel’s actions do not indicate a desire to live in peace, and as they’ve shown no ability to be discriminate in their attacks (a simple release of pre-/post imagery to the public would go a long way in demonstrating “restraint”), and until they demonstrate an openness on their means to achieve strategic aims then this has every appearance of indiscriminate and at odds with international norms (comparing their actions to those of Russia in Ukraine). Their is no intellectual honesty in stating my strategic aim is to live in peace as it has no logical end state.
Now it's Hezbollah turn to whine and cry that is Israel is playing too rough after bombing Israel for the past 11 months. The details will surely follow but the intel/ops with the pagers and beepers is already legend. They went right after the leadership of these monsters. Don't ever forget the American blood that Hezbollah has on their hands from the Beirut bombing 40 years ago.
800+ strikes in an area slightly larger than the District of Columbia reaks of a lack of discrimination in selecting targets, and more of a carpet bombing campaign. Show us the proof of the legitimacy of this level of aggression, or take a step back and examine your true end-state with intellectual honesty. Israel does not get a pass simply for being Israel - which is what you appear to be arguing.
Estimates of Hezbollah's total rocket count range from 40,000 to 120,000. How many is that per square km?
https://www.twz.com/news-features/hezbollah-converted-soviet-tu-143-jet-drone-into-cruise-missile-says-idf-just-like-ukraine
It appears that while Hoover couldn't deliver a chicken in every pot, Hezzbollah has promised everyone a missile in every home.
Or the USS Liberty or Jonathan Pollard.
Hi ya' danny! While you'll get no arguments from me on Pollard (I'm sure he was on the FBI watchlist.) The Liberty is a touch more nuanced. You see what the USN doesn't want you to know is the USN Naval Attache assigned to Israel FAILED to notify Washington about the maritime exclusion zone. (Look that up, I'm sure you can barely spell it, let alone define it.)
Then D.C FAILED to react in a timely matter to get the gouge out to the fleet.
Israel messed up and has responsibility, but you'd damn well better assign some responsibility to the same USN that through misaction also caused those sailors to die.
Have a fine Navy Day! (You did serve, didn't ya?)
Israel follows the dogma of that midevil warrior monk who order the Cathar city in France put to the sword, kill them all let God sort it out, we shall have security when no one left to defend themselves
"Israel’s actions do not indicate a desire to live in peace"
Killing the people that want to kill you indicates a desire to live in [people] peace. If my neighbor was throwing grenades in my window occasionally, I'd sure as heck do something about it.
By your logic the mere possession of armed deterrence indicates that a nation does not want to live in peace. Perish the thought that one might take the fight to an enemy whose raison d'etre is your extermination. With respect, your evaluation of this matter is remarkably naive. It is called war and it has many faces.
Gee, I don't know why there would be emotion involved. Doesn't everyone stand around and calmly debate things after a mob of medieval barbarians attacks, rapes and murders over a thousand of your people?
The challenge here is that in a year since that horrific attack, the emotion from Israels leadership has not subsided. There does not appear to be a rational evaluation of strategic end-states, methods, and rationale behind what Israel is doing now. They don't get a pass to do whatever the hell they want, just because they were attacked first. Restraint, with a calculated rationale behind each move is how they should be prosecuting this war, instead we revert to carpet bombing the enemy with a significant amount of collateral damage that could likely be avoided.
Restraint when retaliating against attempted genocide is suicidal. The right response is to flatten the attackers and kill them all.
It appears that both sides of this war may have genocide on their minds. Neither is right!
Wrong.
Israel wants to be left alone. That's what she means by peace.
Iran and its proxies want to push the Jews into the sea. That's what they mean by peace.
No wonder Churchill compared Mein Kampf to the Koran.
Golda Meir said it best: "We will have peace when the Arabs love their children more than they hate the Jews"
Opinion noted, and discarded as comically foolish and inaccurate.
General LeMay would like a word with you.
Actually, they do get a pass. Restraint is an option the IDF has exercised continuously and will disregard as circumstances dictate.
What Israel should be doing is carpet bombing and creating a buffer zone between them and their enemies.
Total victory is the only option
They’ve had their existence threatened for decades.
Time to end it
"Time to end it"
----------
Moderation and Proportionality has never served the Israelis geo-politically.
The only methodology which has yielded actual negotiated peace between middle east nation states and Israel has been> an Israeli decisive victory followed by Israeli generosity at the peace table in exchange for recognition and peace.
Everything else is just variations of death by a thousand cuts.
Darn Israeli leaders. They just can't put the rape of young Jewish girls behind them.
Gimme a break!
10000 Palestinian kids are not enough?
All Hamas needed to do was return the hostages. They're lucky, if the hostages weren't returned with 48 hours? I would have incinerated Gaza. Return the hostages or die. Simple equation ain't it?
There's the concept of "tough love", "scared straight", and "you either have a boot on their neck or their hands on your throat". In a tough neighborhood you either survive or you don't. When both sides embrace all that, well then, there ya go.
Yes, emotion is always a factor, but in the end a war must have a logical conclusion or end-state in order to continue to be waged, and absent a political end-state, this takes on a more-and-more indiscriminate "us vs the world" mentality in which emotion is the only driver of decision-making. This is a classic art of war discussion in which it appears Israel is just leaping at every boogeyman and does not have any real objective.
Logical conclusion: destruction of the barbarians.
The logical conclusion is too fucking kill your enemy and destroy their foodstocks and economy. But that's so mean!
What's buried under the Al-Aqsa mosque?
I believe the last such action on record was the barbarians at the gates in Rome. It had a less than optimal outcome for the residents.
Patrick: International legitimacy is for the Useless Nations.
No, international legitimacy is how alliances are forged and maintained. Isolated nations do not fare well in the lens of history.
That’s what South Africa said for decades.
Dan: The successful South Africa bowed down to the "international community" and became the dysfunctional mess it is today. "International legitimacy" is just Marxism with a happy face.
Re: ISW map, it reflects the recognized international perspective on the situation. ISW is not a USG entity, and the US recognition of the Golan as Israeli was unilateral, not reflected by the UN or the rest of the world generally speaking. I’ll think they’re trying to present a general perspective rather than a US one
Donald Trump recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and the Golan Heights as part of Israel and no one in the Deep State is going to give him credit for doing so. Just look at who works for these think tanks. At the ISW you will find names like Kagan and Kristol. At the AEI who will find the name Cheney. Need I say more? The thinks tanks are little more than farm teams or retirement homes for future and past members of the Uniparty. They really have little to offer.
The best and the brightest told us that the Arab street would explode in anger if Donald Trump kept his promise about Jerusalem. He did so and the reaction was a big yawn. The Deep State especially hates him when he shows them he's right and they are not.
Also, this isn’t a “long-simmering border conflict”. The Israeli-Lebanese border is internationally recognized. At its heart, this is a Jihadi-Western Civilization conflict.
The Jihadists are just a rehash of the Third Reich.
They seem to have no problem pledging their lives, fortunes, and sacred honor (Naw! Not really) in support of the Uniparty candidate and their continued grift.
https://www.nsl4a.org/nsl4a-announcements/nsl4a-endorsement-harris
"We are former public servants who swore an oath to the Constitution. Many of us risked our lives for it. We are retired generals, admirals, senior noncommissioned officers, ambassadors, and senior civilian national security leaders. We are Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. We are loyal to the ideals of our nation—like freedom, democracy, and the rule of law—not to any one individual or party."
Nice of them to put their names to this letter. A good marketer now has a short list of individuals with the best wine cellars on the Potomac.
I know a few people who signed this screed. Not honorable people. DEI and all.
I agree but read the entire list, Mr. T! I think a reasonable person might change his mind when finding this name on the list: "Linda Jackson, Spouse of retired Senior Military Leader"
Some folks leaning towards Trump might see that the spouse of a retired Senior Military Leader is endorsing Harris and it could tip the scales in her direction for them. Don't know for sure whether she's married to a senior NCO, CWO or a FOGO. Am just suggesting you don't vote early. Wait until election day. I tried to google info about Ms. Jackson but found nothing. Will keep trying. I want to be a High Information Voter, not a low one. Just sayin'.
Mouth breathers.
...and even then, an act of oxygen theft.
I imagine the Epstein Island visitor’s logs contain many of those names.
They are propagandists for the more-war-all-the-time UniParty
If George Soros paid me a lot of money, I might find some nice things to say about Kamala beginning with here endearing laugh.
War profiteering as pentagon suppliers, contractor corporate board memberships, "selling" shoddy weapons and polished whims to colleagues, then hiring them, serving the deep state empire; none of this seems to violate the "support and defend" oaths we took.
VP Harris told the debate a few weeks ago she is going to defend with no limits "rules and norms" none of it in the constitution and remote to common defense. while paying for Israel to violate all norms and rules!
She is good for business......
While trump mentioned nuclear weapons Harris said nothing about tripping MAD!
Just one more step in creating Eretz Israel, meaning from the river to the sea. Over 800,000 Israeli Jews (and none of the 23% of Israel’s citizens who are Arabs) live in illegally occupied areas outside Israel’s boundaries.
Unfortunately, once the Eretz Israel project is completed there will be as many indigenous Arabs inside that expanded version of Israel as there are Jews.
It’s long been recognized that Israel could be a both a majority Jewish state and a democracy, but only if it stayed within the boundaries of the nation as internationally recognized. Or it could expand to incorporate what Jews refer to as Judea and Samaria along with East Jerusalem and, eventually, Gaza, but it couldn’t be a democracy unless it wanted to give equal rights to the non-Jews in Eretz Israel who demographically will before long be a majority of the population. How could it be a Jewish state if Jews are a minority of the population?
Neither the Jews nor the indigenous Arabs are going away and few, if any, nations, including even the United States, will tolerate endless ethnic preferences or, far worse, ethnic cleansing. And, it’s clear that when politicians reference a two state solution involving truly sovereign nations they are playing charades. There will be no two state solution.
Trump has no more long term vision for the Levant than Biden or Harris have. They are trolling for campaign cash and votes.
A Kagan is married to Victoria Nuland as well
No mention at all of the brilliant pager attack? Thats like few thousand injured Hamas members and associates. More than any airstrike ever did.
That was called preparing the battlefield. Master stroke.
Offer Hamas new iPhones for old ones.
When Israel dropped that MOAB last week I knew a new phase of the war has been entered…
Not to be ‘That Guy’, - but wasn’t The 1998 bombing of Iraq 'Operation Desert Fox', and not 'Desert Storm'?
I think you meant Desert Fox, not Desert Storm
I did. Mefixie.
Simply.amazing.
But our political types aren't paying attention, really. To reach back into history, we're looking more and more like the last days of Rome.
Our "elites" couldn't be a more stereotypical group of self-aggrandizing narcissists on the Lido deck of the Titantic than if we'd ordered them from Cecil B. DeMille's casting shop.
Or the bunker, from "Downfall," if you're really wanting to get dark.
When Caligula was assassinated, the Praetorian Guard found his old senile uncle Claudius hiding behind a curtain and proclaimed him emperor. When his usefulness ended, he was fed poisoned mushrooms, and his stepson/son-in-law Nero was proclaimed emperor. That couldn't happen today in the USA.
The Israelis are, at last, doing the necessary, and despite the bleating from our current "Administration". We need to give them any help they need and get out of the way.
What more “help” can we give our charitable ward beyond an absurd percentage of total foreign aid and endless free supplies of sophisticated arms that the US military could itself use?
Perhaps we could establish an American military footprint within Israel that is roughly equal to that which we have within Qatar? Qatar, of course, pays for a great deal of Central Command’s presence there and Israel could do the same.
IDF doesn't need our military. We should ask them what they need and provide it--without strings attached.
Why? Our national interests often diverge greatly from those of Israel. Or do you just have a knee-jerk reaction on this, no matter what?
Israel 2023-4 is Great Britain 1940-1.
We should have let the Brits swing in 1917!
If the Brits were carpet bombing Glasgow.
And if Britain had immense military superiority over Germany in 1940. As charitably funded by the American taxpayers.
Believe it or not, most countries in the world actually pay for armaments they obtain from the US.
To bad we provided Lend-Lease to the Soviet Union.
And btw? The French and British paid for building many of the factories in the US between 1938-1940. They laid the foundations of the arsenal for democracy.
Do they? Are you sure? Even countries like Bahrain, UAE, and omg! Morocco see it differently while NATO leech countries like Turkey say otherwise.
Turkey is a formal ally of the U.S. that hosts major American military facilities. Israel isn’t Qatar and Bahrain both host immense American military bases.
Turkey was a fantastic ally in the Korean War.
The same Turkey that threatened directly threatened US troops in Syria with mechanized troops?
"What more “help” can we give our charitable ward beyond an absurd percentage of total foreign aid and endless free supplies of sophisticated arms that the US military could itself use?"
Allow them to defeat their foes so badly that unconditional surrender is the only option other than extinction.
Why? See my above comment.
What was there before the Al-Aqsa mosque? How old is the Jewish Cemetery on Mount Olive? It ain't the Jews who are the foreign occupiers.
Lindbergh loves ya' baby!
Really? You’re clearly more interested in the Hasbara of a foreign country than what’s best for the US.
So your argument is that Arabs who have been on that land for 1000+ uninterrupted years and 8000 generations aren’t legitimately indigenous and thus deserve to have their land and homes relentlessly stolen by a squatter movement? Are you writing from a West Bank settlement?
I’m not arguing that Jews didn’t live in our Holy Land millennia ago (so did Samaritans…) or that Jews should leave. I follow the Jewish carpenter and know that the New Testament was written almost entirely by Jews with Jews as the primary target audience. I know Christ would be aghast at what is happening now. By all means stay.
But it might be good to, of all things, have Israel’s 800,000 Jewish citizens who live illegally on the West Bank and East Jerusalem return to live inside Israel’s borders (note that none of the 23% of Israelis who are Arabs are squatters).
There are now an equal number of Arabs (Christians and Muslims) and Jews in Palestine/Israel. Neither tribe is leaving and ethnic cleansing and sustained gross ethnic preferences won’t be tolerated.
It’s up to Israel to figure out the answer, not Uncle Sugar. We’d do well to step back and motivate them to do that.
Don’t forget the USS Liberty or Jonathan Pollard. The two countries have differing interests. We aren’t Israelis. At least I am not.
It's illegal for Jews to live in Judea? Wow.
We don't need boot on the ground. We just need to give the Israelis space to make the area peaceful. Their neighbors can decide how they want to play.
They are fighting out fight before we do just like when the destroy Saddam's nuke plant.
There is no existing mutual defense treaty between the US and Israel.
Catch up.
https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/537473-a-us-israel-defense-treaty-has-benefits-and-perils/
I wonder if the USA is being set up for another intervention in Lebanon on behalf of Israel.
Will the unconditional support for a wealthy nuclear power seeking to expand its territory at the expense of Palestinian olive farmers ever end?
I was around, off Ras Beirut for a couple of weeks in May 1983 for the last intervention. That was not in the interest of the United States and didn't end well.
We've been bled in Middle East conflicts related to Israel for the last 40 years, and soon we'll get our ass kicked by China because we let ourselves be bled.
"......at the expense of Palestinian olive farmers ever end?"
Which came first? Mount Olive or the Olive farmers. Herod would like a word with you.
Don't interfere with Israel.
Israel is not the US. It’s another country. Our national interests often don’t coincide with those of Israel.
Maybe it isn’t for you, though.
Gee Dan, read the last sentence.
Perhaps your Gazan pals shouldn't have gone ape schittt on Oct 7th. My reaction would have been to go all Arthur Harris/Dresden on them.
I’m a Marine. There was no reason for the Marines to be in Beirut in 1983. What national interest was served by that gross tragedy?
I’m in no way a Hamas supporter but there are abundant numbers of extraordinary people in Gaza and I’m not nearly as cavalier about killing innocents as you are, apparently. Israel is not becoming more secure and it’s too bad that the IDF was inept in defending its border on 10/7 despite all the weaponry we’ve given it. One thing I can assure you is that Israel can’t kill them all, no matter how much we divert from the US military and take from American taxpayers.
The US did a bunch of misguided stuff after 9/11. Look at how that investment of $7 trillion and hundreds of thousands of lives turned out. Perhaps you’ve forgotten the recent triumph in Afghanistan…
Temper tantrums are poor substitutes for sober strategic decision making.
With Israel being a charitable ward of the US it is absolutely place conditions on our ceaseless aid. We do that with every country we assist.
And, Israel is a completely separate country from us. We aren’t them and they aren’t us.
Sorry for disrupting the echo chamber.
I have heard your argument before. I think it was when Joseph Kennedy didn't want to support England in 1940.
You're not disrupting the echo chamber one bit. Apparently you don't remember that in addition to the whole hezzbollah thingy we were still working to mitigate Soviet influence in the area since 1958.
You know the whole Suez and Lebanon crisis things.
And BTW, too bad we were so inept on Dec 7th. Perhaps you should go talk to Truman about nuking Japan 2x.
What we have done since 9/11 has greatly enhanced Iranian influence in the countries surrounding Israel and, indirectly, enhanced Russian and Chinese influence as a corollary. Even you recognize this.
Japan was a major military power. Gaza isn’t even a hint of a country.
You are a good indication that when you’re a hammer everything else is a nail.
"We've been bled in Middle East conflicts related to Israel for the last 40 years, and soon we'll get our ass kicked by China because we let ourselves be bled."
If it wasn't for State's penchant for nation building and rainbow diversity spreading in the Sandbox, the doves would had "peace divend-ed" away the entire DOD budget and reallocated it to Medicaid, the War on Poverty, and high priced condo reclaimation of waterfront real estate. At least the Navy can still barely serve as a speed bump (Assuming the PLAN doesn't target our pitiful handful of oilers.)
One of those oilers just ran herself aground off Oman.
Thomas: The US has fueled the conflict for the past 40 years, through greed (for oil, gas and influence) and profound ignorance.
Regardless of your opinion of support of the Israel, past 23 years are example of how well intentioned policies of multiple administrations of both parties aimed at progressing US interests, from removing Saddam Hussein to supporting rebels in Syria, led in a brilliant demonstration of the law of unintended consequences to Shia-controlled highway from Iran to Lebanon that could not be better created if Khomeini himself rose from the grave to enact his dreams.
The manner in which Dubya handled Iraq was utterly stupid. After we killed Saddam, we should have handed the keys to the next guy in line with the advice, "Don't make us come back."
Saddam was a horrendous person. He had zip to do with 9/11. We had him completely bottled up at a cost of $12 billion a year and he was firmly opposed to the Iranians. We had the 9/11 perpetrators to address. We blinked rather than sending several divisions into the mountains of Afghanistan to root out Al Qaeda while eventually making Iraq an Iranian client state at huge financial cost and physical costs to the US. $7 trillion is the number. Hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians were killed. We know how Afghanistan turned out.
For all who are so confident in the US national interest way forward in the Middle East, reflect on the law of unintended consequences.
Then pursue the best possible outcome for us as Americans. Never fall victim to wag the dog approaches by other countries pursuing their own interests.
I, like many Jerry Pournelle's community, was against going into Iraq in 2003. Most of us laughed at Frum when he tried to read us out of the party. It would have been better from Frum had he went back to Soviet Canuckistan and kept his mouth shut. My bunch were vindicated by the outcome after the Bushies threw in nation building.
That last was why I said what I did about handing the keys to the next guy.
If we do intervene in Lebanon it will be on behalf of Lebanon which is occupied by HAMAS just as Western Europe was occupied by the Nazis.
Lebanon is occupied by Hezbollah, which is a client of Iran. Hamas is south in Gaza.
Discussion about the nature of war today hinges on whether or not wars can be fought without collateral damage (i.e., non-combatant casualties and infrastructure). We seem to have a bit of amnesia about the nature of war. William Tecumseh Sherman: "War is cruelty. There is no use trying to reform it. The crueler it is, the sooner it will be over." And, "My aim....was to follow them to their inmost recesses, and make them fear and dread us. Fear is the beginning of wisdom." Now, you may or may not agree with this approach, but we wrapped up WWII with two atomic bombs in Japan, and obliteration of key German cities. Israelis have endured years of missile attacks from Hamas and Hezbollah (non-state actors backed by a non contiguous state - Iran) without much reaction from the West. Western indifference to how Jews are treated has a long history, which Jews are more than attuned to. So "Never Again," has an imprimatur that we in the West shouldn't dismiss as rhetoric. We didn't finish the job about punishing those who were behind the Beirut Barracks bombing -- but it appears the IDF has done that for us. So bully for them. I feel sorry for the Lebanese and Gaza civilians who are themselves indirectly held hostage to radical Muslim militants who have essentially ruined the Middle East I remember Beirut pre-Hezbollah, and it was very much a civilized and prosperous place in the 1960s. The next time I saw it was in 1983....
You saw it before the 70% Christian Lebanon let the barbarian PLO through the city gates in '75. We are now living with the 85% Muslim vassal state of Iran.
Hoy cow. Get real. Lebanon is about 35% Christian.
The Paris of the Eastern Med existed for a reason...the last 30-years has seen that title scrapped-off the sign at the city limits and it's no different than any other seaside slum.
Hezbollah are no different the inner city US Gangs. They are a cancer and multiply.
Okay Dan, I've seen different numbers as well.
You saw it before the 70% Christian Lebanon let the barbarian PLO through the city gates in '75. We are now living with the 65% Muslim vassal state of Iran.
Sure doesn't change the narrative much does it? My point stands.
Sherman was mentally unbalanced.
"Airstrike"???? What does that mean? ISW alleged to be in the business of studying war. So use precise warrior terms.
The Schweinfurt Raid was an Airstrike
A Sortie is an Airstrike
A released munition is an Airstrike
The differences are huge.
What are we talking about? I think we are counting booms, meaning high order munitions dropped
Other opinions?
On the Golan question, Dept of State maps seem to show the Golan as disputed, while the CIA Fact book shows it as Israel. Perhaps the Biden Admin defers to Syria
Dropping 2000 lb bombs with a 350 yard kill radius on a Gaza area designated as a safe zone is an air strike.
A completely immoral airstrike. 17000 infants and children dead thus far.
Using bombs charitably supplied by the US. How the American national interest is served by this is unclear.
After Oct 7th?
“Before we're through with them, the Japanese language will be spoken only in hell”
Is the only appropriate response.
All warfare is immoral if you want to argue that. Who is more culpable in this madness, the cowards who initiated this and use civilians as shields or the ones seeking their just revenge as a matter of survival? Honor only means something when recognized by both combatants. Our interests lie with the only democratic nation in the sandbox.
So bombing Hamburg and Berlin was immoral, too? All HAMAS has to do is surrender and no more bombing.
Like typical leftist, you worry about the people that started the war. Yes, many kids have been killed. Same thing happened in WW2 in Germany and Japan. They also started the war, and little sympathy was wasted on them. A decent person does not like doing it, but when the adults allowed a war to begin, then the consequences are on them. The blame sits on Hamas, not Israel, no matter how much you wish to emotionally appeal to "for the children."
Good Lord. Tripe alert. I’m a Marine who’s about as far as from being a leftist as possible. Your views are beyond shallow.
thank you for sharing
The US is not the final arbiter of the status of the Golan Heights.
Who is?
Either rule of law, aka UN charter, which forbids annexation of foreign territory, OR brute force in which case it is Israel on the spot.
Which "rule of law" would you be referring to? The 1862 border, the 1920 border, the 1923 border, the 1936 border, the 1946 border, the 1949 border, the 1967 border, the 2000 border, or the 2019 border...none of which everyone has agreed to. Syria started the fight in '67 where they lost the Golan, not Israel. Also, in the larger context, I refer you to Kosovo, South Sudan, The Falkland Islands, Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro, N. Macedonia, Bosnia ... etc - all gained by force of arms after the UN charter you refer to.
This went into my Reference Notes.
Disbanding of the Yugoslavia did not result in annexations of other countries. - hell even Serbs ended up not annexing Serb parts of the Croatia and Bosnia.
Neither did Albania annex Kosovo.
Similarily, South Sudan seceded after civil war, and was not captured by third party like say, Ethiopia or Kenya.
Falkland Islands have been temporarily de facto conquered by Argentine and was reclaimed justly , de facto AND de iure by UK.
As for the 1967, Israel and Han shot first. With devastating results in both cases :P
So, basically, the rule of international law is :Thou shall not steal land. Especially by force.
You are incorrect WRT Syria’s entrance in to the ‘67 war. Study that front.
I notice that the lines on the map made by the gentlemen's agreement between Joachim von Ribbentrop and Vyacheslav Mikhaylovich Molotov have remained somewhat intact even though the Reich and Soviet Union no longer exist and that their 'agreement' violated the "rule of law" under the League of Nations ensuring territorial integrity and sovereignty. Brute force seems to work until enough time has passed that the lines on a map become historical norms. People and their cultures be damned.
Yes. The eastern boundary of Poland is the Curzon line. Poland was fleshed out with German territory after the war.
Be sure to tell that to Putin. He apparently isn't listening and is engaging in a war of conquest in Ukraine. His casus belli was a pack of transparent lies.