If the Ukrainians have an offensive capability, a limited counter attack into the area that the destroyed Russian formation came from might be possible on a line from Tors'ke to Rubizhne. This would both eliminate pressure on crossing points along the river and take back the road network while relieving pressure on the northern shoulder of the salient the Russians are trying to pinch off/encircle. If they can get mobile forces into the rear of the Russians here, along that road network, they can disrupt all Russian forces in Ukraine NE of Luhansk and, if pressed aggressively, precipitate a general withdrawal to new lines by the Russians.
From what I have seen of analysis, the Russians are developing an attack along the M30 toward Bakhmut as the Southern pincer.
Some analysts are questioning the losses, given that there are at least 25 BMP-1s in the photos, none of which are in Russian service (but are in Ukrainian service). LPR and DPR operate them, yes, but only a few have of the losses have V markings, and many are pointed in the wrong direction on the wrong side of the river. The argument is this was a long-running battle and both sides lost many vehicles. The fact that the BH is now in Russian hands and there's fighting to the south, suggests this may have been a costly victory but not a defeat. By now, everyone should know nothing Ukr MoD says should be taken at face value.
How long can Wagner/Chechen enforcers continue to compel this conscript herd to keep running back into the slaughterhouse?
I spent a half hour watching Uke and foreign correspondent reports from the field this evening. Three of these reports were of scavenging parties rounding up ammo, small arms, and crew served weapons from lightly damaged or simply abandoned equipment. Leaving gear for your opponent is a fire alarm indicating catastrophic lack of training, discipline, and morale.
The Russian Army is unfit for purpose. Lobbing obsolete nukes I to NATO countries won't change that.
If the Ukrainians have an offensive capability, a limited counter attack into the area that the destroyed Russian formation came from might be possible on a line from Tors'ke to Rubizhne. This would both eliminate pressure on crossing points along the river and take back the road network while relieving pressure on the northern shoulder of the salient the Russians are trying to pinch off/encircle. If they can get mobile forces into the rear of the Russians here, along that road network, they can disrupt all Russian forces in Ukraine NE of Luhansk and, if pressed aggressively, precipitate a general withdrawal to new lines by the Russians.
From what I have seen of analysis, the Russians are developing an attack along the M30 toward Bakhmut as the Southern pincer.
Some analysts are questioning the losses, given that there are at least 25 BMP-1s in the photos, none of which are in Russian service (but are in Ukrainian service). LPR and DPR operate them, yes, but only a few have of the losses have V markings, and many are pointed in the wrong direction on the wrong side of the river. The argument is this was a long-running battle and both sides lost many vehicles. The fact that the BH is now in Russian hands and there's fighting to the south, suggests this may have been a costly victory but not a defeat. By now, everyone should know nothing Ukr MoD says should be taken at face value.
How long can Wagner/Chechen enforcers continue to compel this conscript herd to keep running back into the slaughterhouse?
I spent a half hour watching Uke and foreign correspondent reports from the field this evening. Three of these reports were of scavenging parties rounding up ammo, small arms, and crew served weapons from lightly damaged or simply abandoned equipment. Leaving gear for your opponent is a fire alarm indicating catastrophic lack of training, discipline, and morale.
The Russian Army is unfit for purpose. Lobbing obsolete nukes I to NATO countries won't change that.